What Rent Increases to Expect in 2026 in Quebec?

Will the record-breaking rent increases in Quebec over recent years continue to affect those renewing their leases in 2025? Let’s evaluate this based on the latest economic data and market trends.

Rent increases in 2026: by the numbers

In January 2025, the Tribunal administratif du logement (TAL) recommended an average basic increase of 5.9% for unheated dwellings. As of 2026, these figures remain a key reference point for rent adjustments, although actual increases may vary based on specific building expenses such as taxes, insurance, and major repairs.

For rentals with heating, the rates are:

• 5.5% for rentals heated by electricity;
• 5.0% for rentals heated by gas;
• 4.1% for rentals heated by heating oil.

These percentages account for municipal tax increases, rising operating costs, insurance premiums, and renovations.

For example, in Montreal, property taxes will rise by 5.1%, representing a 0.8% increase compared to 2025.

Table 1: applicable percentages for rent increase calculations

Fixed 5% amortization package

Source: Tribunal administratif du logement & Association des propriétaires du Québec

Each year, the Tribunal administratif du logement makes a rent increase calculation tool available. This tool is simple and effective, helping facilitate negotiations between tenants and landlords. While it does not account for specific circumstances, like the introduction of new services with additional expenses, it includes key factors such as:

• Vacant units in the building;
• Taxes and insurance;
• Operating expenses for existing services;
• Major expenses for building renovations and repairs.

This tool for calculating 2025 rent increases is available online starting January 15, 2025.

When should the 2026 rent increase notice be sent?

While the exact percentages of 2026 rent increases are not yet known, it is crucial to be ready to send the notice to tenants within the required timeframe.

Rent increase notices must be sent 3 to 6 months before the lease ends for a 12-month lease. For a lease ending on June 30, the notice must be sent by March 31 at the latest.

Once the lease modification request is received, the tenant has 30 days to respond to the landlord. Although amicable agreements are possible, the TAL may set the rent amount when an agreement cannot be reached.

However, properties built within the last 5 years are not subject to this regulation, and tenants must vacate at the lease's end if no agreement is reached. Read our article on Clause F for more information.

Still a housing shortage in 2026?

Although the Canadian government continues to implement its national housing policy and Quebec pursues efforts such as the Allocation-Logement program, housing shortages are expected to persist until 2026, according to recent forecasts.

Indeed, the benefits of government programs and the entry into force of the new rent calculation method on January 1, 2026 are beginning to manifest. Although the rental market remains under pressure, particularly in Quebec City, the new approach aims for better predictability. However, a complete stabilization of rent increases in Quebec is not yet guaranteed for 2026, as the market remains tight and many affordable housing units financed by the state will only be delivered in 2026 and 2027.

While this situation may benefit current landlords, they continue to face constant increases since 2022 (property taxes, mortgage rates, energy costs, etc.), often forcing them to pass these costs onto tenants.

Key interest rates and average prices in 2026

The key interest rate remains stable in 2026, with potential decreases projected for mid-year. Inflation shows signs of slowing, providing some economic relief.

While the first months of 2025 will be marked by economic uncertainty, prospects will suggest gradual improvement as the year progresses.

That said, rents continue their upward trend. Experts predict average increases between 5% and 8% for 2026.

Here are the projections for average monthly rents in Montreal and Quebec City:

These projections are based on recent rent trends, current economic conditions, and the impact of ongoing housing programs.

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